Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1.836190 2.112973 2.417303 2.776767 3.189826 3.649718 4.200797
2025-06-01 1.438889 1.798163 2.226473 2.774825 3.458613 4.283802 5.356408
2025-06-08 1.146646 1.538794 2.040114 2.728245 3.649191 4.840754 6.502591
2025-06-15 1.006053 1.438185 2.025904 2.884079 4.106953 5.790047 8.288954
2025-06-22 0.865492 1.309412 1.947636 2.932744 4.417811 6.578395 9.971739
2025-06-29 0.736295 1.172713 1.832549 2.903623 4.602946 7.202917 11.500257
2025-07-06 0.611268 1.020500 1.668415 2.769801 4.600966 7.534917 12.616675
2025-07-13 0.559886 0.976404 1.664630 2.885690 5.005912 8.551478 14.965277
2025-07-20 0.519600 0.943782 1.673153 3.019936 5.455157 9.693340 17.677495
2025-07-27 0.479071 0.904048 1.662617 3.116836 5.848296 10.783634 20.442417
2025-08-03 0.436262 0.853486 1.624957 3.157221 6.140555 11.725228 23.055656
2025-08-10 0.383922 0.777188 1.529072 3.073404 6.184394 12.206745 24.849733
2025-08-17 0.329019 0.689824 1.403728 2.921499 6.087849 12.432347 26.227650
2025-08-24 0.295735 0.641572 1.349091 2.904640 6.262238 13.219543 28.873680
2025-08-31 0.262992 0.589668 1.279898 2.847486 6.344320 13.829022 31.236195
2025-09-07 0.252501 0.584551 1.308431 3.005028 6.912503 15.543587 36.271995
2025-09-14 0.234156 0.559063 1.289054 3.052731 7.241807 16.780115 40.408292
2025-09-21 0.212171 0.521885 1.238300 3.020696 7.382121 17.608357 43.710720
2025-09-28 0.185830 0.470429 1.147524 2.880517 7.244757 17.771629 45.430488
2025-10-05 0.178144 0.463815 1.162373 3.000478 7.761261 19.566787 51.475055
2025-10-12 0.171955 0.460089 1.183718 3.139731 8.346139 21.608736 58.455076
2025-10-19 0.164071 0.450794 1.189788 3.240278 8.844962 23.500395 65.320345
2025-10-26 0.153984 0.434132 1.174606 3.282144 9.193404 25.048655 71.485518